Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.759569 0.852394 0.953357 1.071530 1.206306 1.355519 1.533625
2025-02-09 0.617490 0.743883 0.892645 1.081518 1.316151 1.599615 1.970369
2025-02-16 0.536988 0.677587 0.851884 1.085533 1.393098 1.787659 2.337807
2025-02-23 0.485530 0.636268 0.831264 1.104703 1.482549 1.992568 2.743835
2025-03-02 0.429799 0.580987 0.783550 1.078444 1.502872 2.100993 3.024440
2025-03-09 0.400113 0.556562 0.773097 1.099546 1.587735 2.304403 3.461838
2025-03-16 0.365929 0.521798 0.743716 1.088687 1.622306 2.434652 3.800706
2025-03-23 0.342531 0.499952 0.730131 1.098489 1.686969 2.614682 4.237077
2025-03-30 0.315893 0.470681 0.702424 1.083032 1.708963 2.727383 4.573163
2025-04-06 0.294681 0.447705 0.681994 1.076398 1.743257 2.861774 4.960422
2025-04-13 0.267023 0.412434 0.639341 1.029454 1.704947 2.868078 5.117131
2025-04-20 0.254968 0.400952 0.633529 1.042739 1.770127 3.059573 5.638011
2025-04-27 0.244349 0.391272 0.630302 1.060850 1.846925 3.282626 6.254939
2025-05-04 0.232587 0.378824 0.621485 1.068388 1.905370 3.478342 6.845658
2025-05-11 0.221347 0.366346 0.611487 1.072579 1.957379 3.666430 7.445290
2025-05-18 0.213474 0.359027 0.609753 1.091471 2.038858 3.920542 8.221203
2025-05-25 0.199339 0.339723 0.585314 1.065564 2.029638 3.989756 8.596650
2025-06-01 0.193239 0.334286 0.585398 1.086385 2.115904 4.265959 9.484904
2025-06-08 0.183191 0.320998 0.570071 1.075671 2.135989 4.402755 10.062987
2025-06-15 0.176626 0.313661 0.565262 1.085341 2.199572 4.641160 10.924161
2025-06-22 0.167375 0.300707 0.548887 1.070091 2.207860 4.755915 11.490221
2025-06-29 0.159847 0.290548 0.537202 1.063546 2.234529 4.915638 12.197448
2025-07-06 0.148231 0.271872 0.507701 1.017226 2.167660 4.847683 12.284200